Jesus Aguilar vs Shannon Ross
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record12-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'6"
62"Reach74,0"
128 lbsWeight125 lbs
Victory Fight Club· 1674 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamPlatinum Boxing Club
What's at stake
Jesus Aguilar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Shannon Ross carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1695
If they lose-22→ 1663
If they win+22→ 1569
If they lose-10→ 1537
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jesus AguilarShannon Ross
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jesus Aguilar81%
Shannon Ross 19%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Jesus Aguilar a 81% favorite over Shannon Ross in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Jesus Aguilar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1547, a 138-point edge.
Shannon Ross enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jesus Aguilar finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Shannon Ross 58%.
Shannon Ross carries a 12-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.