Jesus Hernandez vs Roger Bowling
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-0-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
La Division del NorteTeamTeam Vision
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jesus HernandezRoger Bowling
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jesus Hernandez62%
Roger Bowling 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jesus Hernandez a 62% favorite over Roger Bowling in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1578), separated by just 2 points.
Jesus Hernandez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jesus Hernandez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Roger Bowling 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.