Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesus Pinedo vs John Makdessi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-8-1Record18-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
74"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Pitbull Martial Arts CenterTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Jesus Pinedo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — John Makdessi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jesus PinedoNow 1720
If they win+9→ 1729
If they lose-15→ 1705
John MakdessiNow 1646
If they win+19→ 1665
If they lose-13→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
5.52
38%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.15
53%
Strike defense
68%
2.50
Takedown avg.
0
100%
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
86%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jesus PinedoJohn Makdessi
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (64%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
4 (16%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (20%)
Decision
9 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Jesus Pinedo79%
John Makdessi 21%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Jesus Pinedo a 79% favorite over John Makdessi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Jesus Pinedo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1646, a 74-point edge.

Jesus Pinedo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Makdessi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jesus Pinedo finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, John Makdessi 50%.

Jesus Pinedo carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.