Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesus Pinedo vs Shane Burgos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-8-1Record16-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
74"Reach75"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Pitbull Martial Arts Center· 1696 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jesus PinedoNow 1732
If they win+12→ 1744
If they lose-12→ 1720
Shane BurgosNow 1733
If they win+16→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
7.40
38%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.78
53%
Strike defense
56%
2.50
Takedown avg.
0.43
100%
Takedown accuracy
44%
100%
Takedown defense
92%
0
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Jesus PinedoShane Burgos
1700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (65%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
4 (15%)
Submission
5 (31%)
5 (19%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Jesus Pinedo60%
Shane Burgos 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jesus Pinedo a 60% favorite over Shane Burgos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shane Burgos's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1733), separated by just 1 points.

Jesus Pinedo finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Shane Burgos 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.