Jesus Ru vs Marcos Mariano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-14-0Record7-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1518
If they lose-12→ 1494
If they win+16→ 1525
If they lose-16→ 1493
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jesus RuMarcos Mariano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jesus Ru62%
Marcos Mariano 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jesus Ru a 62% favorite over Marcos Mariano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcos Mariano's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1506 vs 1509), separated by just 3 points.
Jesus Ru enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jesus Ru finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Mariano 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.