Combat Edge Intelligence

Jhonata Diniz vs Štefan Vojčák

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record10-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
79"Reach79"
255 lbsWeight260 lbs
Santa Fe TeamTeamOctagon Fighting Academy· avg 1598 Elo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jhonata DinizNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Štefan VojčákNow 1671
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.89
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
56%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
70%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jhonata DinizŠtefan Vojčák
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (40%)
2 (22%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Štefan Vojčák60%
Jhonata Diniz 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Štefan Vojčák a 60% favorite over Jhonata Diniz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jhonata Diniz's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1671), separated by just 1 points.

Jhonata Diniz finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Štefan Vojčák 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.