Jhonata Diniz vs Pedro Rizzo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record20-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
79"ReachTBD
255 lbsWeight244 lbs
Santa Fe TeamTeamRuas Vale Tudo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
If they win+12→ 1685
If they lose-12→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jhonata DinizPedro Rizzo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jhonata Diniz68%
Pedro Rizzo 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jhonata Diniz a 68% favorite over Pedro Rizzo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pedro Rizzo's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1673), separated by just 1 points.
Jhonata Diniz finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Rizzo 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.