Combat Edge Intelligence

Jhonata Diniz vs Renan Ferreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record13-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'8"
79"Reach85"
255 lbsWeight264 lbs
Santa Fe TeamTeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jhonata DinizNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Renan FerreiraNow 1673
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.89
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
56%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
70%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jhonata DinizRenan Ferreira
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
11 (85%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (8%)
2 (22%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Renan Ferreira59%
Jhonata Diniz 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Renan Ferreira a 59% favorite over Jhonata Diniz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1673), separated by just 1 points.

Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jhonata Diniz finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Renan Ferreira 92%.

Renan Ferreira carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.