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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jhony Gregory vs Kevin Casey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record9-6-2
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
72"Reach77,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jhony GregoryNow 1564
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
Kevin CaseyNow 1563
If they win+16→ 1579
If they lose-16→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.27
Not available
Strike accuracy
54%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.76
Not available
Strike defense
46%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.79
Not available
Takedown accuracy
22%
Not available
Takedown defense
27%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Jhony GregoryKevin Casey
145015001550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
4 (36%)
Submission
3 (33%)
1 (9%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jhony Gregory and Kevin Casey within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1563), separated by just 1 points.

Jhony Gregory finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Casey 67%.

Kevin Casey carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.