Combat Edge Intelligence

Jhony Gregory vs Luke Barnatt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record15-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'6"
72"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Daniel Oliveira MethodologyTeamTsunami Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jhony GregoryNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
Luke BarnattNow 1562
If they win+12→ 1574
If they lose-12→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.43
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.87
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.63
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
TBD
Takedown defense
64%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Jhony GregoryLuke Barnatt
1450150015501600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
4 (36%)
Submission
4 (27%)
1 (9%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Jhony Gregory70%
Luke Barnatt 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jhony Gregory a 70% favorite over Luke Barnatt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1562), separated by just 0 points.

Luke Barnatt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jhony Gregory finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Luke Barnatt 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.