Jhony Gregory vs Nate Loughran
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record11-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
72"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Daniel Oliveira MethodologyTeamNor-Cal Fighting Alliance
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jhony GregoryNate Loughran
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jhony Gregory53%
Nate Loughran 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jhony Gregory a 53% favorite over Nate Loughran in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nate Loughran's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1566), separated by just 1 points.
Nate Loughran enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jhony Gregory finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Nate Loughran 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.