Combat Edge Intelligence

Jim Alers vs Koji Takeda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jim Alers
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Jim Alers

“The Beast”

14-5-0FeatherweightCG

1637Solid

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record20-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
71,0"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
MMA MastersTeamTribe Tokyo MMA· 1629 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jim AlersNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Koji TakedaNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.90
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
2.26
Takedown avg.
TBD
41%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.32
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jim AlersKoji Takeda
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (14%)
KO/TKO
2 (10%)
10 (71%)
Submission
7 (35%)
2 (14%)
Decision
11 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Koji Takeda70%
Jim Alers 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Koji Takeda a 70% favorite over Jim Alers in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1638), separated by just 1 points.

Jim Alers enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Koji Takeda enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jim Alers finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Koji Takeda 45%.

Jim Alers carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.