Combat Edge Intelligence

Jim Wallhead vs Trey Waters

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Trey Waters
us

Trey Waters

“The Truth”

9-2-0WelterweightUFC

1679Good

Tale of the tape

33-12-0Record9-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'5"
40,5"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamLudus MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jim WallheadNow 1681
If they win+12→ 1693
If they lose-12→ 1669
Trey WatersNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.19
Sig. strikes / min
6.43
27%
Strike accuracy
44%
6.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.61
50%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
0.44
0%
Takedown accuracy
33%
100%
Takedown defense
86%
0
Submission avg.
0.88

Trajectory

Jim WallheadTrey Waters
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

13 (39%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
10 (30%)
Submission
3 (33%)
10 (30%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Trey Waters70%
Jim Wallhead 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Trey Waters a 70% favorite over Jim Wallhead in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jim Wallhead's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1679), separated by just 2 points.

Jim Wallhead finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Trey Waters 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.