Combat Edge Intelligence

Jim Wallhead vs Trey Waters

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Trey Waters
us

Trey Waters

“The Truth”

10-2-0WelterweightPFL

1680Good

Tale of the tape

33-12-0Record10-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'5"
40,5"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamLudus MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jim WallheadNow 1682
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670
Trey WatersNow 1680
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.19
Sig. strikes / min
6.39
27%
Strike accuracy
44%
6.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.83
50%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
0.40
0%
Takedown accuracy
33%
100%
Takedown defense
86%
0
Submission avg.
0.81

Trajectory

Jim WallheadTrey Waters
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (39%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
10 (30%)
Submission
3 (30%)
10 (30%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Trey Waters73%
Jim Wallhead 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Trey Waters a 73% favorite over Jim Wallhead in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jim Wallhead's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1680), separated by just 2 points.

Jim Wallhead finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Trey Waters 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.