Combat Edge Intelligence

Jimi Manuwa vs Kyle Kingsbury

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jimi Manuwa

Jimi Manuwa

“Poster Boy”

17-6-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1657Good

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Keddles GymTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Jimi Manuwa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Kyle Kingsbury carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jimi ManuwaNow 1657
If they win+13→ 1670
If they lose-19→ 1638
Kyle KingsburyNow 1587
If they win+19→ 1606
If they lose-13→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1700 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.43
Sig. strikes / min
2.97
54%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.81
49%
Strike defense
51%
0.53
Takedown avg.
2.64
19%
Takedown accuracy
42%
71%
Takedown defense
52%
0.36
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jimi ManuwaKyle Kingsbury
160016501700175020122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

15 (88%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
1 (6%)
Submission
2 (18%)
1 (6%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Jimi Manuwa58%
Kyle Kingsbury 42%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Jimi Manuwa a 58% favorite over Kyle Kingsbury in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Jimi Manuwa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1587, a 70-point edge.

Jimi Manuwa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Kyle Kingsbury enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Jimi Manuwa finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Kingsbury 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.