
Jimi Manuwa vs Kyle Kingsbury
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Jimi Manuwa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Kyle Kingsbury carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Jimi Manuwa a 58% favorite over Kyle Kingsbury in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Jimi Manuwa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1587, a 70-point edge.
Jimi Manuwa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Kyle Kingsbury enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jimi Manuwa finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Kingsbury 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.