Combat Edge Intelligence

Jimi Manuwa vs Volkan Oezdemir

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jimi Manuwa

Jimi Manuwa

“Poster Boy”

17-6-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1657Good

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Keddles GymTeamFight Move Academy

What's at stake

Volkan Oezdemir is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Jimi Manuwa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jimi ManuwaNow 1657
If they win+19→ 1676
If they lose-13→ 1644
Volkan OezdemirNow 1719
If they win+13→ 1732
If they lose-19→ 1700

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1700 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.43
Sig. strikes / min
4.95
54%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.22
49%
Strike defense
55%
0.53
Takedown avg.
0.50
19%
Takedown accuracy
29%
71%
Takedown defense
80%
0.36
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Jimi ManuwaVolkan Oezdemir
165017001750201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

15 (88%)
KO/TKO
14 (67%)
1 (6%)
Submission
2 (10%)
1 (6%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Volkan Oezdemir78%
Jimi Manuwa 22%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Volkan Oezdemir a 78% favorite over Jimi Manuwa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Volkan Oezdemir holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1657, a 62-point edge.

Jimi Manuwa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Jimi Manuwa finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.

Jimi Manuwa and Volkan Oezdemir share 1 common opponent: Aleksandar Rakić.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2019
Aleksandar Rakić
WinDecision (split) · 2019