Jimmie Rivera vs John Dodson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-5-0Record24-14-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'3"
TBDReach66,0"
135 lbsWeight126 lbs
Team Tiger SchulmannTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Jimmie Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — John Dodson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1768
If they lose-14→ 1744
If they win+14→ 1706
If they lose-10→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jimmie RiveraJohn Dodson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jimmie Rivera75%
John Dodson 25%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Jimmie Rivera a 75% favorite over John Dodson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Jimmie Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1692, a 66-point edge.
Jimmie Rivera finishes 26% of wins inside the distance, John Dodson 54%.
Jimmie Rivera and John Dodson share 1 common opponent: Petr Yan.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.