
Jimmie Rivera vs Marcus Brimage
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Jimmie Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Marcus Brimage carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Jimmie Rivera a 84% favorite over Marcus Brimage in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).
Jimmie Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1541, a 217-point edge.
Marcus Brimage enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jimmie Rivera finishes 26% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Brimage 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.