Combat Edge Intelligence

Jimmie Rivera vs Marlon Moraes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

23-5-0Record23-13-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'4"Height5'6"
TBDReach67"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Tiger SchulmannTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Jimmie Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Marlon Moraes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jimmie RiveraNow 1758
If they win+8→ 1766
If they lose-16→ 1742
Marlon MoraesNow 1653
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-8→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1732 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.03
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
40%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.53
60%
Strike defense
54%
0.88
Takedown avg.
0.87
28%
Takedown accuracy
42%
93%
Takedown defense
46%
0.11
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Jimmie RiveraMarlon Moraes
165017001750180020192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
10 (43%)
2 (9%)
Submission
6 (26%)
17 (74%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Jimmie Rivera78%
Marlon Moraes 22%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Jimmie Rivera a 78% favorite over Marlon Moraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Jimmie Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1653, a 105-point edge.

Marlon Moraes enters on a 8-fight loss streak.

Jimmie Rivera finishes 26% of wins inside the distance, Marlon Moraes 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.