Jimmie Rivera vs Marlon Moraes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-5-0Record23-13-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'4"Height5'6"
68.5"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Tiger SchulmannTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Jimmie Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Marlon Moraes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1756
If they lose-15→ 1732
If they win+15→ 1666
If they lose-9→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1733 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jimmie RiveraMarlon Moraes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jimmie Rivera69%
Marlon Moraes 31%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Jimmie Rivera a 69% favorite over Marlon Moraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Jimmie Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1651, a 96-point edge.
Marlon Moraes enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Jimmie Rivera finishes 26% of wins inside the distance, Marlon Moraes 70%.
Jimmie Rivera carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.