Combat Edge Intelligence

Jimmie Rivera vs Petr Yan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Petr Yan
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Petr Yan

“No Mercy”

20-5-0BantamweightUFC

1817Great

Tale of the tape

23-5-0Record20-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
TBDReach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Tiger SchulmannTeamArchangel Michael Club

What's at stake

Petr Yan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jimmie Rivera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jimmie RiveraNow 1758
If they win+14→ 1772
If they lose-10→ 1748
Petr YanNow 1817
If they win+10→ 1827
If they lose-14→ 1803

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1777 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.03
Sig. strikes / min
5.12
40%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
60%
Strike defense
59%
0.88
Takedown avg.
1.58
28%
Takedown accuracy
48%
93%
Takedown defense
85%
0.11
Submission avg.
0.12

Trajectory

Jimmie RiveraPetr Yan
175018002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
2 (9%)
Submission
1 (5%)
17 (74%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Petr Yan79%
Jimmie Rivera 21%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Petr Yan a 79% favorite over Jimmie Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Petr Yan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1817 to 1758, a 59-point edge.

Petr Yan enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jimmie Rivera finishes 26% of wins inside the distance, Petr Yan 40%.

Jimmie Rivera and Petr Yan share 1 common opponent: Aljamain Sterling.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2019
Aljamain Sterling
LossDecision (split) · 2022
LossDQ · 2021