Combat Edge Intelligence

Jimmie Rivera vs Thomas Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

23-5-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Tiger SchulmannTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

Jimmie Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Thomas Almeida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jimmie RiveraNow 1758
If they win+10→ 1768
If they lose-14→ 1744
Thomas AlmeidaNow 1701
If they win+14→ 1715
If they lose-10→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.03
Sig. strikes / min
4.84
40%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.93
60%
Strike defense
62%
0.88
Takedown avg.
0.17
28%
Takedown accuracy
14%
93%
Takedown defense
76%
0.11
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jimmie RiveraThomas Almeida
170017501800201920202021

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
17 (77%)
2 (9%)
Submission
4 (18%)
17 (74%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Jimmie Rivera64%
Thomas Almeida 36%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Jimmie Rivera a 64% favorite over Thomas Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Jimmie Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1701, a 57-point edge.

Thomas Almeida enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jimmie Rivera finishes 26% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Almeida 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.