Jimmy Crute vs Marcin Prachnio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-2Record17-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74"Reach74"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Stewie's House of BJJTeamTatsujin Dojo
What's at stake
Jimmy Crute is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Marcin Prachnio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1718
If they lose-20→ 1686
If they win+15→ 1626
If they lose-9→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jimmy CruteMarcin Prachnio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jimmy Crute79%
Marcin Prachnio 21%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Jimmy Crute a 79% favorite over Marcin Prachnio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Jimmy Crute holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1611, a 95-point edge.
Jimmy Crute enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Marcin Prachnio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jimmy Crute finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Prachnio 71%.
Jimmy Crute and Marcin Prachnio share 1 common opponent: Modestas Bukauskas.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.