Jimmy Crute vs Modestas Bukauskas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-2Record21-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
Modestas Bukauskas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jimmy Crute carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1724
If they lose-15→ 1692
If they win+11→ 1735
If they lose-13→ 1711
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jimmy CruteModestas Bukauskas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jimmy Crute57%
Modestas Bukauskas 43%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Jimmy Crute a 57% favorite over Modestas Bukauskas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Modestas Bukauskas's way (48%).
Modestas Bukauskas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1707, a 17-point edge.
Jimmy Crute enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Modestas Bukauskas enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jimmy Crute finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Modestas Bukauskas 71%.
Jimmy Crute and Modestas Bukauskas share 1 common opponent: Marcin Prachnio.
Modestas Bukauskas carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.