Jimmy Flick vs Matt Schnell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-9-0Record17-11-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'8"
68"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Thunderkick FitnessTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Jimmy Flick is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Matt Schnell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1640
If they lose-17→ 1608
If they win+13→ 1619
If they lose-11→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jimmy FlickMatt Schnell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Schnell60%
Jimmy Flick 40%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Schnell a 60% favorite over Jimmy Flick in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jimmy Flick's way (47%).
Jimmy Flick holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1625 to 1606, a 19-point edge.
Jimmy Flick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matt Schnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jimmy Flick finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Matt Schnell 69%.
Jimmy Flick and Matt Schnell share 2 common opponents: Alessandro Costa and Cody Durden.
Matt Schnell carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.