Jimmy Flick vs Nate Maness
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-9-0Record16-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'10"
68"Reach72"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Thunderkick FitnessTeamSalvation Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
Nate Maness is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jimmy Flick carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1646
If they lose-11→ 1614
If they win+11→ 1747
If they lose-21→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jimmy FlickNate Maness
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nate Maness75%
Jimmy Flick 25%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Nate Maness a 75% favorite over Jimmy Flick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Nate Maness holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1625, a 111-point edge.
Jimmy Flick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nate Maness enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jimmy Flick finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Nate Maness 56%.
Nate Maness carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.