Combat Edge Intelligence

Jimmy Lawson vs Marek Samociuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record9-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach76"
265 lbsWeight264 lbs
Killer B Combat Sports AcademyTeamUniq Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jimmy LawsonNow 1556
If they win+24→ 1580
If they lose-24→ 1532
Marek SamociukNow 1551
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-16→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.07
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
8%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jimmy LawsonMarek Samociuk
1500155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Marek Samociuk52%
Jimmy Lawson 48%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Marek Samociuk a 52% favorite over Jimmy Lawson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jimmy Lawson's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1551), separated by just 5 points.

Marek Samociuk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jimmy Lawson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marek Samociuk 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.