Combat Edge Intelligence

Jimmy Lawson vs Ryan Firinaiu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record2-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach-
265 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jimmy LawsonNow 1556
If they win+24→ 1580
If they lose-24→ 1532
Ryan FirinaiuNow 1557
If they win+24→ 1581
If they lose-24→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.07
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
8%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jimmy LawsonRyan Firinaiu
150015502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Firinaiu73%
Jimmy Lawson 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Firinaiu a 73% favorite over Jimmy Lawson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1557), separated by just 1 points.

Ryan Firinaiu enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jimmy Lawson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.