Combat Edge Intelligence

Jimmy Quinlan vs José Medina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-1-1Record11-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight6'0"
TBDReach74″
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Mass BJJTeamPhuket Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jimmy QuinlanNow 1535
If they win+24→ 1559
If they lose-24→ 1511
José MedinaNow 1536
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1486 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
70%
Strike accuracy
37%
5.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.07
17%
Strike defense
47%
4.46
Takedown avg.
0.40
25%
Takedown accuracy
33%
0%
Takedown defense
28%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jimmy QuinlanJosé Medina
15501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
2 (67%)
Submission
2 (18%)
1 (33%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

José Medina54%
Jimmy Quinlan 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes José Medina a 54% favorite over Jimmy Quinlan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1535 vs 1536), separated by just 1 points.

José Medina enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Jimmy Quinlan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, José Medina 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.