Jimmy Wallhead vs Luan Chagas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
33-12-0Record15-3-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
40.50Reach75,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamGile Ribeiro Team
What's at stake
Luan Chagas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jimmy Wallhead carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+37→ 1513
If they lose-11→ 1465
If they win+7→ 1699
If they lose-25→ 1667
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1688 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jimmy WallheadLuan Chagas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luan Chagas84%
Jimmy Wallhead 16%Elo baseline: 78%
The Combat Edge model makes Luan Chagas a 84% favorite over Jimmy Wallhead in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).
Luan Chagas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1476, a 216-point edge.
Jimmy Wallhead enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jimmy Wallhead finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Luan Chagas 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.