Jingliang Li vs Khamzat Chimaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record15-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
71" Reach75"
170 lbsWeight186 lbs
China Top TeamTeamAllstars Training Center
What's at stake
Khamzat Chimaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jingliang Li carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-8→ 1696
If they win+11→ 1839
If they lose-21→ 1807
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1706 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1750 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jingliang LiKhamzat Chimaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khamzat Chimaev89%
Jingliang Li 11%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Chimaev a 89% favorite over Jingliang Li in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Khamzat Chimaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1828 to 1704, a 124-point edge.
Jingliang Li enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jingliang Li finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Khamzat Chimaev 80%.
Khamzat Chimaev carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.