Combat Edge Intelligence

Jingliang Li vs Neil Magny

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neil Magny
us

Neil Magny

“The Haitian Sensation”

32-14-0WelterweightUFC

1768Great

Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record32-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
71" Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
China Top TeamTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jingliang Li carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jingliang LiNow 1703
If they win+14→ 1717
If they lose-10→ 1693
Neil MagnyNow 1768
If they win+10→ 1778
If they lose-14→ 1754

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.46
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
42%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
57%
Strike defense
52%
1.19
Takedown avg.
2.17
42%
Takedown accuracy
25%
60%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Jingliang LiNeil Magny
1700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
10 (31%)
4 (21%)
Submission
5 (16%)
5 (26%)
Decision
17 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Neil Magny88%
Jingliang Li 12%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 88% favorite over Jingliang Li in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1768 to 1703, a 65-point edge.

Jingliang Li enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jingliang Li finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 47%.

Jingliang Li and Neil Magny share 3 common opponents: Carlos Prates, Elizeu Zaleski and Jake Matthews.

Neil Magny carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossDEC · 2018
Jake Matthews
WinSubmission · 2025
WinTKO · 2019
Elizeu Zaleski
WinTKO · 2025
LossKO/TKO · 2024
Carlos Prates
LossKO · 2024