Combat Edge Intelligence

Jingliang Li vs Neil Magny

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neil Magny
us

Neil Magny

“The Haitian Sensation”

31-14-0WelterweightUFC

1758Great

Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record31-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
71" Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
China Top TeamTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jingliang Li carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jingliang LiNow 1704
If they win+14→ 1718
If they lose-10→ 1694
Neil MagnyNow 1758
If they win+10→ 1768
If they lose-14→ 1744

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1706 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.46
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
42%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
57%
Strike defense
52%
1.19
Takedown avg.
2.17
42%
Takedown accuracy
25%
60%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Jingliang LiNeil Magny
170017502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
9 (29%)
4 (21%)
Submission
5 (16%)
5 (26%)
Decision
17 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Neil Magny66%
Jingliang Li 34%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 66% favorite over Jingliang Li in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1704, a 54-point edge.

Jingliang Li enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jingliang Li finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 45%.

Jingliang Li and Neil Magny share 4 common opponents: Carlos Prates, Daniel Rodriguez, Elizeu Zaleski and Jake Matthews.

Neil Magny carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (4)

LossDEC · 2018
Jake Matthews
WinSubmission · 2025
WinTKO · 2019
Elizeu Zaleski
WinTKO · 2025
LossKO/TKO · 2024
Carlos Prates
LossKO · 2024
LossDecision (split) · 2022
Daniel Rodriguez
WinSubmission · 2022