Combat Edge Intelligence

Jingliang Li vs Zak Ottow

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Zak Ottow
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Zak Ottow

“The Barbarian”

20-8-0WelterweightXMMA

1660Good

Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record20-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
71" Reach40,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
China Top TeamTeamPura Vida BJJ

What's at stake

Jingliang Li is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Zak Ottow carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jingliang LiNow 1704
If they win+10→ 1714
If they lose-14→ 1690
Zak OttowNow 1660
If they win+14→ 1674
If they lose-10→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1706 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.46
Sig. strikes / min
2.63
42%
Strike accuracy
37%
3.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.73
57%
Strike defense
59%
1.19
Takedown avg.
0.97
42%
Takedown accuracy
29%
60%
Takedown defense
57%
0
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Jingliang LiZak Ottow
1650170017502021202220232024

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
3 (15%)
4 (21%)
Submission
12 (60%)
5 (26%)
Decision
5 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Jingliang Li63%
Zak Ottow 37%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Jingliang Li a 63% favorite over Zak Ottow in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Jingliang Li holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1660, a 44-point edge.

Jingliang Li enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jingliang Li finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Zak Ottow 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.