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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jingnan Xiong vs Julia Polastri

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-4-0Record15-6-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'2"
64"Reach63"
118 lbsWeight115 lbs

What's at stake

Jingnan Xiong is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Julia Polastri carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jingnan XiongNow 1691
If they win+15→ 1706
If they lose-17→ 1674
Julia PolastriNow 1667
If they win+17→ 1684
If they lose-15→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.53
Sig. strikes / min
6.22
34%
Strike accuracy
57%
8.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.18
38%
Strike defense
59%
0
Takedown avg.
0.62
Not available
Takedown accuracy
60%
75%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Jingnan XiongJulia Polastri
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
1 (5%)
Submission
3 (20%)
7 (37%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Julia Polastri57%
Jingnan Xiong 43%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Julia Polastri a 57% favorite over Jingnan Xiong in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jingnan Xiong's way (47%).

Jingnan Xiong holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1667, a 24-point edge.

Jingnan Xiong enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jingnan Xiong finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Julia Polastri 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.