Combat Edge Intelligence

Jingnan Xiong vs Julia Polastri

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-3-0Record14-6-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'2"
64"Reach63"
118 lbsWeight115 lbs
The Block BaliTeamCWB Fighter

What's at stake

Jingnan Xiong is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Julia Polastri carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jingnan XiongNow 1707
If they win+13→ 1720
If they lose-19→ 1688
Julia PolastriNow 1648
If they win+19→ 1667
If they lose-13→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.53
Sig. strikes / min
6.22
34%
Strike accuracy
57%
8.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.18
38%
Strike defense
59%
0
Takedown avg.
0.62
TBD
Takedown accuracy
60%
75%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Jingnan XiongJulia Polastri
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
1 (5%)
Submission
3 (21%)
7 (37%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Jingnan Xiong63%
Julia Polastri 37%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Jingnan Xiong a 63% favorite over Julia Polastri in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Jingnan Xiong holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1648, a 59-point edge.

Jingnan Xiong finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Julia Polastri 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.