Jiniushiyue vs Steve Erceg
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-0Record14-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'8"
68"Reach 68"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Enbo Fight Club· 1687 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamWilkes Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
JiniushiyueSteve Erceg
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steve Erceg60%
Jiniushiyue 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Steve Erceg a 60% favorite over Jiniushiyue in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jiniushiyue's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1688), separated by just 0 points.
Jiniushiyue enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jiniushiyue finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Steve Erceg 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.