Jiniushiyue vs Takeru Uchida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-0Record9-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'5"
68"Reach68"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Enbo Fight Club· 1685 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamParaestra Matsudo
What's at stake
Jiniushiyue is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Takeru Uchida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1696
If they lose-18→ 1664
If they win+18→ 1654
If they lose-14→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
JiniushiyueTakeru Uchida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jiniushiyue and Takeru Uchida within a point of even.
Jiniushiyue holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1636, a 46-point edge.
Jiniushiyue enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Takeru Uchida enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jiniushiyue finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Takeru Uchida 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.