Jinnosuke Kashimura vs Matt Hobar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record9-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'10"
71"Reach70,0"
134 lbsWeight135 lbs
Battle Box· 1575 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamOctagon MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jinnosuke KashimuraMatt Hobar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jinnosuke Kashimura58%
Matt Hobar 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jinnosuke Kashimura a 58% favorite over Matt Hobar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Hobar's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1606), separated by just 1 points.
Jinnosuke Kashimura finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Matt Hobar 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.