Combat Edge Intelligence

Jinnosuke Kashimura vs Motonobu Tezuka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record30-15-6
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
71"ReachTBD
134 lbsWeight135 lbs
Battle BoxTeamSecret Base Dominate

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jinnosuke KashimuraNow 1602
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
Motonobu TezukaNow 1602
If they win+12→ 1614
If they lose-12→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.87
TBD
Strike accuracy
24%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
11%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Jinnosuke KashimuraMotonobu Tezuka
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
7 (23%)
10 (83%)
Submission
7 (23%)
1 (8%)
Decision
16 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Jinnosuke Kashimura73%
Motonobu Tezuka 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jinnosuke Kashimura a 73% favorite over Motonobu Tezuka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1602), separated by just 0 points.

Motonobu Tezuka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jinnosuke Kashimura finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Motonobu Tezuka 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.