Jiří Procházka vs Ryan Bader
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-6-1Record31-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
80"Reach74,0"
205 lbsWeight232 lbs
Jetsaam Gym BrnoTeamPower MMA Team
What's at stake
Ryan Bader is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jiří Procházka carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1818
If they lose-11→ 1794
If they win+11→ 1834
If they lose-13→ 1810
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1732 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1732 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jiří ProcházkaRyan Bader
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jiří Procházka72%
Ryan Bader 28%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Jiří Procházka a 72% favorite over Ryan Bader in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Bader's way (47%).
Ryan Bader holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1805, a 18-point edge.
Jiří Procházka finishes 97% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Bader 52%.
Jiří Procházka carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.