Combat Edge Intelligence

Joachim Hansen vs Michael Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

23-14-1Record24-20-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
357 MMATeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joachim HansenNow 1614
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1602
Michael JohnsonNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.28
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.58
TBD
Takedown accuracy
39%
TBD
Takedown defense
81%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.04

Trajectory

Joachim HansenMichael Johnson
160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (30%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
8 (35%)
Submission
2 (8%)
8 (35%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Johnson70%
Joachim Hansen 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Johnson a 70% favorite over Joachim Hansen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joachim Hansen's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.

Joachim Hansen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joachim Hansen finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Michael Johnson 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.