Joachim Hansen vs Nicolae Bivol
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-14-1Record8-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach72.4"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
357 MMATeamFree Fight Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1608
If they lose-12→ 1584
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joachim HansenNicolae Bivol
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nicolae Bivol53%
Joachim Hansen 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nicolae Bivol a 53% favorite over Joachim Hansen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1597), separated by just 1 points.
Joachim Hansen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joachim Hansen finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Nicolae Bivol 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.