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Combat Edge Intelligence

Joanderson Brito vs Lerone Murphy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-5-1Record17-1-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
72"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Chute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1705 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joanderson BritoNow 1787
If they win+16→ 1803
If they lose-16→ 1771
Lerone MurphyNow 1792
If they win+16→ 1808
If they lose-16→ 1776

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.38
Sig. strikes / min
4.48
51%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
44%
Strike defense
62%
3.23
Takedown avg.
1.41
6%
Takedown accuracy
54%
58%
Takedown defense
51%
1.23
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Joanderson BritoLerone Murphy
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
8 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (15%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Joanderson Brito54%
Lerone Murphy 46%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Joanderson Brito a 54% favorite over Lerone Murphy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lerone Murphy's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1787 vs 1792), separated by just 5 points.

Joanderson Brito enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Joanderson Brito finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Lerone Murphy 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.