Combat Edge Intelligence

Joanna Jędrzejczyk vs Jéssica Andrade

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record26-15-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'2"
65"Reach62"
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamParana Vale Tudo

What's at stake

Joanna Jędrzejczyk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jéssica Andrade carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joanna JędrzejczykNow 1686
If they win+15→ 1701
If they lose-17→ 1669
Jéssica AndradeNow 1661
If they win+13→ 1674
If they lose-11→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.28
Sig. strikes / min
6.39
48%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.49
63%
Strike defense
54%
0.27
Takedown avg.
2.21
63%
Takedown accuracy
55%
80%
Takedown defense
72%
0.05
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Joanna JędrzejczykJéssica Andrade
165017001750202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
10 (38%)
1 (6%)
Submission
8 (31%)
11 (69%)
Decision
8 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Joanna Jędrzejczyk58%
Jéssica Andrade 42%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Joanna Jędrzejczyk a 58% favorite over Jéssica Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Joanna Jędrzejczyk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1661, a 25-point edge.

Joanna Jędrzejczyk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jéssica Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joanna Jędrzejczyk finishes 31% of wins inside the distance, Jéssica Andrade 69%.

Joanna Jędrzejczyk carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.