Joanna Jędrzejczyk vs Juliana Lima
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record10-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'5"
65"Reach65.50
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
American Top TeamTeamGracie Barra BH
What's at stake
Joanna Jędrzejczyk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Juliana Lima carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1695
If they lose-23→ 1663
If they win+23→ 1547
If they lose-9→ 1515
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joanna JędrzejczykJuliana Lima
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joanna Jędrzejczyk82%
Juliana Lima 18%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Joanna Jędrzejczyk a 82% favorite over Juliana Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Joanna Jędrzejczyk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1524, a 162-point edge.
Joanna Jędrzejczyk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joanna Jędrzejczyk finishes 31% of wins inside the distance, Juliana Lima 20%.
Joanna Jędrzejczyk and Juliana Lima share 1 common opponent: Tecia Pennington.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.