Joao Elias vs Kurban Gadzhiev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-1Record20-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'3"Height5'4"
TBDReach-
125 lbsWeight137 lbs
Gile Ribeiro Team· 1650 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamDagestan Combat Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joao EliasKurban Gadzhiev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kurban Gadzhiev55%
Joao Elias 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kurban Gadzhiev a 55% favorite over Joao Elias in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joao Elias's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1643), separated by just 0 points.
Kurban Gadzhiev enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joao Elias finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Kurban Gadzhiev 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.