Combat Edge Intelligence

Joao Pierini vs Tysen Herken

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record0-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joao PieriniNow 1482
If they win+24→ 1506
If they lose-24→ 1458
Tysen HerkenNow 1476
If they win+24→ 1500
If they lose-24→ 1452

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1648 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.76
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
14%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
33%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Tysen Herken68%
Joao Pierini 32%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Tysen Herken a 68% favorite over Joao Pierini in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joao Pierini's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1482 vs 1476), separated by just 6 points.

Joao Pierini finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.