Joao Pierini vs Yves Edwards
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record42-22-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team JMTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Yves Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Joao Pierini carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+37→ 1519
If they lose-11→ 1471
If they win+6→ 1692
If they lose-18→ 1668
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joao PieriniYves Edwards
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yves Edwards83%
Joao Pierini 17%Elo baseline: 76%
The Combat Edge model makes Yves Edwards a 83% favorite over Joao Pierini in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).
Yves Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1482, a 204-point edge.
Yves Edwards enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Joao Pierini finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yves Edwards 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.