Joao Roque vs Juan Carlos Izquierdo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-4Record7-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight139 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamKiofu Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joao RoqueJuan Carlos Izquierdo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Juan Carlos Izquierdo66%
Joao Roque 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Juan Carlos Izquierdo a 66% favorite over Joao Roque in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joao Roque's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1584), separated by just 2 points.
Joao Roque enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joao Roque finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Juan Carlos Izquierdo 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.