Combat Edge Intelligence

Joaquim Silva vs Nazareno Malegarie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record29-6-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Tavares

What's at stake

Nazareno Malegarie is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Joaquim Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joaquim SilvaNow 1650
If they win+19→ 1669
If they lose-13→ 1637
Nazareno MalegarieNow 1717
If they win+10→ 1727
If they lose-14→ 1703

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
3.87
43%
Strike accuracy
35%
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
53%
Strike defense
70%
0.39
Takedown avg.
1
50%
Takedown accuracy
33%
69%
Takedown defense
0%
0.78
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joaquim SilvaNazareno Malegarie
165017001750201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (17%)
3 (21%)
Submission
17 (59%)
4 (29%)
Decision
7 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Joaquim Silva51%
Nazareno Malegarie 49%Elo baseline: 40%

The Combat Edge model makes Joaquim Silva a 51% favorite over Nazareno Malegarie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nazareno Malegarie's way (40%).

Nazareno Malegarie holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1717 to 1650, a 67-point edge.

Joaquim Silva finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Nazareno Malegarie 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.