Combat Edge Intelligence

Joaquim Silva vs Tony Sims

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tony Sims
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Tony Sims

“2.0”

12-4-0LightweightUFC

1649Solid

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record12-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
69"Reach42,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joaquim SilvaNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
Tony SimsNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
43%
Strike accuracy
63%
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.76
53%
Strike defense
66%
0.39
Takedown avg.
0.71
50%
Takedown accuracy
50%
69%
Takedown defense
50%
0.78
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Joaquim SilvaTony Sims
160016501700201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
10 (83%)
3 (21%)
Submission
2 (17%)
4 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Joaquim Silva56%
Tony Sims 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joaquim Silva a 56% favorite over Tony Sims in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1649), separated by just 1 points.

Tony Sims enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joaquim Silva finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Tony Sims 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.