Joaquin Buckley vs Jordan Wright
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-8-0Record13-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'8"Height6'1"
76"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
Murcielago MMATeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Joaquin Buckley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jordan Wright carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1763
If they lose-16→ 1739
If they win+21→ 1671
If they lose-11→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joaquin BuckleyJordan Wright
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joaquin Buckley79%
Jordan Wright 21%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Joaquin Buckley a 79% favorite over Jordan Wright in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Joaquin Buckley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1650, a 105-point edge.
Joaquin Buckley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jordan Wright enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Joaquin Buckley finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Wright 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.