Combat Edge Intelligence

Joaquin Buckley vs Nassourdine Imavov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-8-0Record17-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'3"
76"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Murcielago MMATeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

Nassourdine Imavov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Joaquin Buckley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joaquin BuckleyNow 1755
If they win+13→ 1768
If they lose-11→ 1744
Nassourdine ImavovNow 1788
If they win+14→ 1802
If they lose-18→ 1770

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1738 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.88
Sig. strikes / min
4.45
37%
Strike accuracy
56%
2.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
59%
Strike defense
59%
1.54
Takedown avg.
0.85
45%
Takedown accuracy
32%
72%
Takedown defense
79%
0.08
Submission avg.
1.14

Trajectory

Joaquin BuckleyNassourdine Imavov
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (71%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (24%)
6 (29%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Nassourdine Imavov53%
Joaquin Buckley 47%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Nassourdine Imavov a 53% favorite over Joaquin Buckley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Nassourdine Imavov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1788 to 1755, a 33-point edge.

Joaquin Buckley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nassourdine Imavov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Joaquin Buckley finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Nassourdine Imavov 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.